OpenAlex ·

Designing sustainability under Earth-system rate constraints

José Halloy, Petros Chatzimpiros, François Graner and Thomas Gregor

Published
Source
OpenAlex
Published in
arXiv (Cornell University)
DOI
10.48550/arxiv.2610.34026
Original
Read it at the publisher
Topics
Earth & Environmental Science

Abstract

Sustainability debates are monopolized by quantities: total energy use, material stocks, or recycling volumes. These metrics are informative, but they obscure a more fundamental constraint. On a materially closed but energetically open Earth, long-term viability is governed by rates: power density, areal power density, and the rate at which dispersed materials can be repurified under dif- fuse solar fluxes. We develop a physical framework that links technological metabolism, material dilution, and recycling limits through these rate con- straints. This perspective clarifies why many contemporary technologies remain viable only through stock drawdown and high-power buffering, and why green growth strategies often shift rather than resolve the underlying mismatch between industrial activity and Earth-system dynamics. We argue that long-term sustain- ability requires both quantitative reduction in aggregate industrial throughput toward rate-bounded regimes and the development of technologies qualitatively compatible with biospheric operating conditions.

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